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RVT

Watching the leftists up at capitol hill try to continue expanding government even after tax revenues fall yet again will be amusing.

//corrected for 'be'//

ElectricAngel

TFH,

What's the earnings yield on housing now, versus 2005? At that time, I recommended several websites to people on whether it was better to rent or own; the conclusion was always that it was better to rent (except maybe in Manhattan, where rents were and still are out of sight compared to ownership costs.)

Now, not so much. I hate the thought of investing in housing as much now as I did in 2005, but the fundamentals have changed, for a very real reason: it's damn near impossible for people with poor credit to buy housing. Again, excepting Manhattan, you can buy housing in Las Vegas (I still wouldn't touch it given water and tourism issues) or Florida and get cash rents on the property sufficient to return all capital in 10 years. This compares favorably to a 10-year treasury with no inflation protection built in.

GK

ElectricAngel,

The yields are better now than 2005, but still not back down to natural levels in places like California.

Remember that many states like California have laws that are very biased in favor of tenants, and actually reward them for being deadbeats, at the landlord's expense. Barbara Boxer is actually pushing a bill that would force a landlord to give free rent to any woman who files a DV claim (which of course can be false). Talk about an incentive to file more false DV claims - free rent is attached to it!

Savethemalesfuturist

I think we never left the recession in the first place, the temporary boom several years ago was based on fake equity due to the house bubble. Speaking of bubbles, the huge global debt bubble won't ever be paid off. Greece already defaulted on half it's debt and will soon default on the rest. Other countries will follow in a chain reaction, including the demise of the USSA. I read that another rating downgrade for the USSA will occur in a couple months. The fiat currency will evaporate and be replaced by a new currency backed by gold, silver and resources.

The OWS protests can only help humans in general and men in particular. Women's entitlements are rapidly coming to an end while men are voicing their grievances, no doubt largely due to misandry even if they are not yet aware of the cause. The misandry bubble is already showing cracks and I predict that the air will begin to leak out in 2012 and beyond. The house bubble is 2/3 dead, but house prices will keep dropping till 2016 then stay flat for several more years.

Geoman

Flat home prices till 2025? You might as well say forever, since the baby boom will become the baby bust - and who is going to buy all those boomer homes? After that will be the singularity...and que curtain.

What can fall 60% is goverment spending. What can inflate housing prices is massive printing of money and inflation. I suspect the U.S. will eventually be forced to select one of the above. Maybe both.

GK

Geoman,

Flat home prices till 2025?

I effectively predicted that in 2006 itself.

But the 2025 date includes most of the boomer retirement effect. After that, most of that wave is done (even if old boomers are still alive), as the population will have grown another 14%, offsetting the boomer distortion.

What can fall 60% is goverment spending.

That would be ideal. But that can never happen in a society where 54% of voters are female. Asking women to support small government is like asking government employees to support small government.

John Rambo

Want proof that women REFUSE to condemn the crimes of their fellow women? Download and read this 11 page letter that Peter Nolan wrote to the International Women's Club in Dublin, requesting them to CONDEMN the CRIMES that one of their MEMBERS, who is also Peter Nolan's ex-wife, was committing against him.

Notice how NONE OF THEM would support him and condemn his criminal ex-wife:

http://www.crimesagainstfathers.com/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=9lSXfe6xZo8%3D&tabid=82&mid=409&forcedownload=true

And young men? I really do suggest you read this letter and click through to the links. It is very clear the crimes that were committed and it is VERY clear that these crimes were presented to these women as well as to the government.

Reading this letter might save your life one day.

Passing this letter to a friend might save HIS life one day.

The point I am making in this letter to these 250 women is that they have had FOUR YEARS to denounce a criminal woman and instead they have supported her and hidden her crimes from those who are new in her life.

You, as a young men, have a right to know that the VAST MAJORITY of western women take the position they can commit crimes against you with impunity. If you do nothing to fight back? Such as join CAF and register to sit on our new juries? Please do not bother me any more with your whining and moaning.

For not only have WOMEN had FOUR YEARS to be prepared to denounce WOMEN who are criminals? SO HAVE MEN. And the MEN will not do this either.

Not Jennifers father, not her brother, not her sons, not my father, not my brothers, not my best man, not my best mate, not my sons, not my male cousins, not my uncles.

Quite frankly? I am FAR more disgusted in FATHERS than I am in women.

And you fathers here ought to know that.

I can have no respect for men who are not willing to write letters like this one. I have been doing this for FOUR YEARS and in my own name MORE THAN A YEAR. Yet so many other men cower at the idea of doing the same. And so many other men REFUSE to educate themselves.

I have given you men the remedy and you refuse to use it!

Rescind your consent to be governed!

Divorce your criminal government!

Stand up on your own hind legs and tell the government and the cops that you DO NOT CONSENT TO BE A SLAVE.

And if you do not do this?

Welcome to your slavery.

Please join Crimes Against Fathers

www.crimesagainstfathers.com

Please take the time to read a FREE short 100 page book called “Living Free in a Fem-Nazi World”. This book is about freeing you from the fem-nazi, fem-fascist state you live in to live your life as you choose. This book will show you how to no longer be subject to the fem-nazi ‘legislation’ that claims you are a slave with no rights at all.

After reading this short 100 page book, you will understand how to become completely legally free of the feminist legal system worldwide. That is, no woman will ever be able to persecute you or harm you through false DV charges, false rape accusations, feminist divorce courts, etc. In short, you will indeed be a free man in a world of feminism, free and safe from being harmed by feminism.

Download the ‘Living Free in a Fem-Nazi World’ eBook for free here:

http://www.crimesagainstfathers.com/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=yZdxTPgDMtE%3D&tabid=82&mid=409&forcedownload=true

Jared

So, in other words...the best time to buy a "cheap" house will be 15 years from now?

ElectricAngel

GK,

That's absolutely crazy about DV filers. I love California, especially the North of it, but I cannot see it turning around, ever. It's absolutely shocking to me how much the place has changed since I first saw it 25 years ago (Orange County was mostly white, then.)

Cutting off the oxygen for government is the only thing that can save it; with the flight of the white middle class from the South, maybe the northern part of the state can secede and preserve SOMETHING of the paradise I once saw. Otherwise, SF and the Wine Country will face the same fate.

I could post a link to guys who are now converting CA and FL and NV homes into publicly traded partnerships, something like apartment REITs, only with houses. Gotta dig it up, however.

Savethemalesfuturist

http://www.singularity2050.com/2011/01/the-time-has-arrived.html

I wanted to remind everyone to keep posting fliers! I have posted perhaps 500 mini fliers since I first started. I bet I have saved dozens of men from making the fatal mistake of marrying.

John Rambo, MGTOW is the best and easiest thing a man can do. I am staying single forever and want nothing to do with women. Men everywhere should learn from the Japanese Herbivores and realize that life is much better and happier without a woman messing you up.

GK, see my reply to you above. The USSA is going to crash soon and government will have to shrink. This is one of the four horsemen.

Jared, cheap houses costing under $50,000 exist today in many different towns and cities all over the USSA. This was not the case 5 years ago.

ElectricAngel, CA is a lost cause and has devolved into a third world state/country with 99% being poor(and occupying wall street) and 1% being rich.

jeffolie

'darker days' are coming

When confidence in the Dollar declines happens then today's what I have been calling since 2008 as a 'regular depression for average Americans' will become far worse. I expected the euro lost of confidence to precede the Dollars and during the euro's lost of confidence there would be a flight to what the market percieves as the safe haven of the Dollar assets and US Treasuries for a period of time. Later, metals will trump the Dollar.

2 obvious (not so obvious choices exist) options include 1. a continuation of the long term, slow, orderly Dollar decline with shorter period rallies OR 2. an inflationary turn.

The 1st choice seems more likely but by no means is certain, deflation from lower consumer spending as deficit grow. Japan remains a current example of this long term decline. (see The Costliest Mistake In All Of Economics http://www.businessinsider.com/the-costl....eficit-2011-10)

The 2nd choice, inflation, appears to just have started in the UK. (see Bank of England's Quantitative Inflation Bankster's Paradise Inflationary Depression Economy http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article30989.html)

I favor the lost of confidence in the Dollar, 1st choice because I believe 'politics matter'. I remain of the opinion since I concluded that Obama would defeat Hillary in the primaries during 2008 that Obama would not be re-elected and that Republicans would sweep in 2012 bringing in less government. I continue even today with that 2008 conclussion that less government would lower consumer spending after the Obama Admin was over, resulting in a lower GDP. As with Greece and Japan, lower consumer spending continues the the long term, slow, orderly Dollar decline with shorter period rallies until confidence is lost. The details of current events favoring this choice include the Obama agreement to budget cuts from a 'super committee' which if no agreement is reach will result in cuts taking place after the 2012 elections in Jan of 2013; compounding those 'super committee' Jan 2013 cuts most likely will be additional federal fiscal budget cutting by a Republican sweep creating legislation in 2013 that would impact most likely starting 2014. This 'rhymes with 1937' when the Great Depression cuts collapsed again.

Read more: http://unlawflcombatnt.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=general&action=display&thread=9797#ixzz1dRRlgeW3

Zyndryl

"Barbara Boxer is actually pushing a bill that would force a landlord to give free rent to any woman who files a DV claim (which of course can be false)."

Looks like the Misandry Bubble is still running on all six cylinders (two for the legs, two for the arms and two for the breasts).

GK

Looks like the Misandry Bubble is still running on all six cylinders

Yeah, it does not pop/dissipate until 2020. The peak between now and then will be scary.

Darktriumvirate.wordpress.com

My dear TFH, your foresight is unrivalled. Continue your noble work, for there are precious few with your gifts, and fewer still who dispense their knowledge with such benevolence.

GK

Darktrium,

Thanks for the encouragement.

John Rambo

Zero Tolerance Man's blog got hacked, but he has started a new blog at:

American Woman Bitch by the Zero Tolerance Man

Zero Tolerance Man has the most powerful anti-feminist blog on the net, because he is directly attacking feminist women and showing what worthless cunts they truly are.

Here is from his "Why Did I create this website" page:

Because most American women are worthless toilet bowl turds. They are nothing but parasites feeding off the hard work of men. Are men better than women in the USA? ABSOLUTELY. The only thing American women are good for is nagging, complaining, and spending men’s money. Most are not even worth fucking. They suck in bed and thus, have absolutely no value to the good men of the USA.

Please send a link to this blog to all your friends.

RL

"My dear TFH, your foresight is unrivalled. Continue your noble work, for there are precious few with your gifts, and fewer still who dispense their knowledge with such benevolence."

Problem is only that TFH/GK almost never updates this blog anymore. Too much posting comments at dalrock's, running out of things to say, too much effort.. who knows the reason.

RL

Special report on women and work: http://www.economist.com/printedition/2011-11-26

Don't forget to clear your site cookies after 3 page retrievals.

Judy Nichols

Please see the press release below that may be of interest to your readers:


For Immediate Release
For more information contact:

Judy Nichols, 480-727-7895, judith.nichols@asu.edu
Note: Please use the official name of the College –
The Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law at Arizona State University.

Prevail Project launches global gathering place – prevailproject.org

The Prevail Project is launching a website – prevailproject.org – aimed at becoming the global gathering place for those coming together in novel ways to imagine – and then create – a human future we can thrive in, rather than simply reacting to technologies transforming what it means to be human.

Thought leaders in the field – including Bruce Sterling, Jamais Cascio, Bill McKibben, Witold Rybczynski and Jay Oglivy - will kick-start the launch by blogging about what “prevailing” means to them. Readers will be encouraged to become authors and help direct the discussion in groups devoted to everything from “Creating Stronger, Faster Communities” and “Human Enhancement” to “Revolutionizing Learning” and “Foresight – How Can We Think Critically About the Future?”

“Prevailproject.org will be a place for everybody from my mother to technologists inventing the future to grapple with some of the most pressing questions of our time: How are the genetics, robotics, information and nano revolutions changing human nature, and how can we shape our own futures, toward our own ends, rather than being the pawns of these explosively powerful technologies?” said Joel Garreau, the Lincoln Professor of Law, Culture and Values at the Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law at Arizona State University, and director of The Prevail Project: Wise Governance for Challenging Futures.

“The Prevail Project is a collaborative effort, worldwide, to see if we can help accelerate this social response to match or exceed the pace of technological change,” Garreau said. “The fate of human nature hangs in the balance.”

The website is a natural extension of the Project’s efforts to be at the cutting edge of thought about how our humanity can be maintained amidst rapidly growing scientific innovation, said Garreau, a former longtime editor and reporter at The Washington Post, and author of Radical Evolution, The Promise and Peril of Enhancing our Minds, Our Bodies -- And What It Means to Be Human.

“The Prevail Project reflects core values of the College of Law,” said Douglas Sylvester, Interim Dean. “A strong focus on where law and society are going has been a central feature of the College’s Center for Law, Science & Innovation as well as its cutting-edge technology. Partnering with the Prevail Project will continue to push our intellectual endeavors towards the horizon while reminding us that the future is not far away.”

Michael M. Crow, President of Arizona State University, called the website a bold experiment.

“Here at ASU, we are obsessed with the future, the challenges it holds, and our ability as active participants to shape the responses to these challenges,” Crow said. “The Prevail Project is perhaps our most intellectually open exercise in that regard, pondering the most fundamental questions of what it means to be human, how that definition will morph as technology changes, and how society will manage that change.

“I look forward to watching and participating in the conversation.”

The launch will include essays on what “prevailing” means from several of the most respected thinkers in the field, including:

Bruce Sterling, internationally recognized as a cyberspace theorist, one of the founders of the cyberpunk movement in science fiction, and the prize-winning author of The Difference Engine, an alternate history novel, and Holy Fire that, like our world today, occupies the nexus of the strange and the terrifying.

In Sterling’s post for prevailproject.org, he writes that prevailing is a “moral act” because it “is about peering through the keyhole of Pandora’s Box, but whoever breaks that box has to own it. They will not be relieved from ‘law, culture and values;’ they will merely have the awful quandary of creating their own.”

Jamais Cascio, selected by Foreign Policy magazine as one of the Top 100 Global Thinkers, founder of worldchanging.org, and author of Hacking the Earth: Understanding the Consequences of Geoengineering. Cascio’s work focuses on the intersection of emerging technologies, environmental dilemmas and cultural transformation, especially the design and creation of plausible scenarios of the future.

Cascio writes that, for him, prevailing involves seeing technologies as expressions of ourselves, not alterations or degradations of human nature. “To prevail is to see something subtle and important that both critics and cheerleaders of technological evolution often miss: our technologies will, as they always have, make us who we are.”

Bill McKibben, author of a dozen books about the environment, including Enough: Staying Human in an Engineered Age, about the existential dangers of genetic engineering, and founder of 350.org, a climate-change advocacy group.

McKibben is currently working on “prevailing” through non-violent resistance to a tar-sands oil pipeline. “That doesn’t mean we’ll carry the day; the odds are still against us, since money remains awfully powerful,” McKibben writes. “But we’ve begun rebuilding this retro technology for a new day; it will be fascinating to see how it turns out.”

Witold Rybczynski, an award-winning critic who has been called “architecture’s voice in the world of letters,” and who has been thinking and writing about humanity and technology since the 1980s.

Rybczynski, a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and the author of Paper Heroes: Appropriate Technology: Panacea or Pipe Dream? and Taming the Tiger: The Struggle to Control Technology, argues for prevailproject.org that a pre-technological Golden Age is a dangerous myth, and that technologies are enabling a world that already exists.

Jay Oglivy, author of Creating Better Futures: Scenario Planning as a Tool for a Better Tomorrow, and one of the founders of the pioneering scenario-planning firm Global Business Network.

Ogilvy, whose work has focused on the role human values and changing motivations play in business decisionmaking and strategy, writes about how we can create a place for real human empathy and connection in a digital world, stating that, “Connectedness is crucial: ‘a gradual ramp of increased bridging of the interpersonal gap.’ ”

The website is aimed at sparking idea-filled conversations among its members about how to take control of the future, fueled by videos, essays, blogs and Tweets. It also offers recommended resources, such as the book Alone Together: Why We Expect More from Technology and Less From Each Other,” by Sherry Turkle, and links to “change agents,” like MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence, which studies how individuals, groups and computers can act more intelligently than they ever have before; TEDx, an organization for promoting “ideas worth spreading,” and Edutopia, focused on sharing news of “what works” in education.


The Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law, renamed for the retired U.S. Supreme Court Justice in 2006, is pursuing a bold and transformative model for public legal education and is dedicated to making the law school a valuable resource for addressing major regional, national and international problems of law and public policy. The College is the leading law school in the Phoenix area, and it boasts an Indian Legal Program that is arguably the best in the nation. The College also houses three Centers, the Center for Law, Science & Innovation, the oldest, largest and by far the most comprehensive law and science center in the country; the Center for Law and Global Affairs, which supports and inspires research, education and practice in new forms of transnational public-private governance, and the Diane Halle Center for Family Justice, which promotes the well-being and protects the human rights of children and families through multidisciplinary initiatives in education, advocacy and scholarship. Beyond the traditional J.D., the College offers several concurrent degrees, including a J.D./M.D. program with the Mayo Medical School, a J.D./M.B.A. with the W. P. Carey School of Business at ASU, a J.D./Ph.D. in Law and Psychology with the ASU Department of Psychology, and a J.D./Ph.D. in Justice Studies with the ASU School of Social Transformation’s Justice and Social Inquiry Program. It also offers graduate degrees in Biotechnology and Genomics, in Tribal Policy, Law and Government and in Global Legal Studies, as well as a Customized LL.M. program. A Master of Legal Studies program gives non-lawyers an opportunity to develop needed legal skills to help students advance in their professional careers. For more information, visit law.asu.edu

jeffolie

Re: “sell in May and go away” vs S&P 1500

by jeffolie » Fri Oct 07, 2011 2:35 pm

This week the S&P 500 reach a low during one day at 1075 ... very close to my expected 1050

Today the S&P 500 reached upto 1171 in the morning.

--------------------------------------

Oct 18, 2011

I am increasing my expectation of reaching 1500 on the S&P 500 from 50% to 75% within 12 months from now

======================

WOW that was a lightning fast Merkel flip

I was correct France+Germany leveraged up the bailout fund using a ruse of layers of insurance to 2 Trillion Euros bailout ... flipping quickly this Merkels' morning position that the bailout fund will be merely .44 Trillion Euros.

Paul B. Farrell's crash of EU banks scenario above just got less probable to be sooner than I expected ... my guess now is moved to the year after or later, 2013-2014. That timeline, scenario remains within my previously stated expectations that the Euro would decline significantly, crash before the Dollar which subsequently most likely will be in crisis in 2014 and/or beyond.


SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- France and Germany have agreed to boost the euro zone's rescue fund to 2 trillion euros, The Guardian reported Tuesday on its online edition, citing European officials. Under part of a comprehensive plan, the European Financial Stability Facility will be increased to 2 trillion euros from 440 billion euros, turning the fund into an insurer rather than a bank, according to the Guardian.


Read more: http://unlawflcombatnt.proboards.com/in ... z1bAHn79yz

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/france ... atest_news

-----------------------------

Nov 30, 2011

I am increasing my expectation of reaching 1500 on the S&P 500 from 75% to 85% within 12 months from now:

Xmas Wall Street party: FED+5's QE 2.25 starts Dec 5

Tne quick relief program coordinated before Xmas sales, accelerates the fast rising retail sales in America creating a festive, party on Wall Street.

Banks get a 'hair of the dog' temporary relief because the FED+5's are tools to the banks. Complicated & immediately effective: the FED+5's QE 2.25 starts Dec 5 prints .225Trillion euros & pumps Dollars into European banks with 'swap lines' without limit.

Adding to the Xmas party schedule is an agreement to expand the ECB's bailout fund from .445 Trillion euros by the magic of printing unknown quantities now that both Spain & Italy consistently are tipping over into unsustainable higher soveriegn bond rates.

============================

Fed, Five Central Banks Cut Rate on Dollar Swaps

Nov 30, 2011


Read more: http://unlawflcombatnt.proboards.com/in ... z1fE3QnBGs

Eric

The Futurist

Do you still think the US is heading into a recession?

It doesn't look like your call of a recession in late 2011 is coming true. Unemployment continues to drop. If a recession was coming, I would expect it to increase. Stock market is at news highs. GDP continues to grow.

Looking forward to reading your next post.

Eric

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GK

I think you missed a big one. The Obamacare(less) recession.

http://classicalvalues.com/2013/11/affordable-recession-because-we-care/

Even if the program was zero cost for everyone you don't see the money returned to you until you pay your taxes.

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