IGN has a good article on what level of sophistication can be expected in video game graphics in the next couple of years. While their optimism about the period between now and 2008 is cautious, this reaffirms the technological trends and is consistent with my prediction that the descendants of modern video games will become the most popular form of home entertainment by 2012, mostly at the expense of television.
As always, viewing the pictoral history of video games gives an idea of the rate of progress that one can expect in the next decade.
Of course, like they mutual funds ads say, past results are no guarantee of future performance. Even now, however, I'd as soon watch the kids play the current NFL licensed video game as watch real football. It isn't quite "real" but it is easier to follow the action.
Posted by: triticale | May 08, 2006 at 05:53 PM
The last few details that separate realism from a near miss will take longer than people expect, but I still expect near-realism to be available in games by 2012.
Posted by: GK | May 08, 2006 at 06:01 PM